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Richard Duncan

Founder and Publisher
Macro Watch
Country or state 
Worldwide
Available to 
Global
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Languages 
English
Volunteer
No

Personal Details

Bio

Author, Economist, Consultant, Speaker

Richard Duncan is the author of three books on the global economic crisis. The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures (Wiley, 2003) predicted the global economic disaster of 2008 with extraordinary accuracy. It was an international bestseller. His second book was The Corruption of Capitalism (CLSA Books, 2009). His latest book is The New Depression: The Breakdown Of The Paper Money Economy (Wiley, 2012).

Since beginning his career as an equities analyst in Hong Kong in 1986, Richard has served as global head of investment strategy at ABN AMRO Asset Management in London, worked as a financial sector specialist for the World Bank in Washington D.C., and headed equity research departments for James Capel Securities and Salomon Brothers in Bangkok. He also worked as a consultant for the IMF in Thailand during the Asia Crisis. He is now chief economist at Blackhorse Asset Management in Singapore. He is also the founder and publisher of Macro Watch.

Richard has appeared frequently on CNBC, CNN, BBC and Bloomberg Television, as well as on BBC World Service Radio. He is a well-known speaker whose audiences have included The World Economic Forum’s East Asia Economic Summit in Singapore, EuroFinance Conferences in Copenhagen and Monaco, The Chief Financial Officers’ Roundtable in Shanghai, The World Knowledge Forum in Seoul and numerous CFA Institute Events around the world.

Current position (1)

Founder and Publisher

Macro Watch

Degrees (2)
Economics and Literature
Vanderbilt University
1979 to 1983
MBA, Investment and Finance
Babson College
1984 to 1986

Presentations

Presentations (3)
How To Understand Economics and The Financial Markets In The Post-Bretton Woods World

The breakdown of Bretton Woods System in 1971 brought about a monetary revolution that changed the way the global economy works. Money ceased to be backed by gold, trade between nations no longer had to balance, large capital flows between nations emerged, and central banks began creating money on a very large scale. These changes ushered in a new era of Globalization and pulled hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.

The economic textbooks have still not caught up.

In this presentation, Richard Duncan will explain how to understand economics and the financial markets in the post-Bretton Woods world.
Topics will include:

• The evolution of the global economy as Bretton Woods gave way to The Dollar Standard

• The new drivers and constraints on global economic growth in the 21st Century

• The challenges and opportunities this new paradigm presents

• How to anticipate movements in currencies, commodities, interest rates and asset prices in this new regime.

Quantitative Tightening

The Fed intends to reverse Quantitative Easing beginning later this year. That is a very bad idea that could inflict severe damage on the economy and destroy your wealth.

If the Fed now carries through with its plans to unwind QE, interest rates are likely to rise, the price of stocks and property is likely to fall and the government’s budget deficit will grow much larger. There is no good reason for the Fed to inflict such unnecessary damage on the economy or to increase the burden on American taxpayers.

In this presentation, Richard Duncan will explain:
• Why the Fed believes Quantitative Tightening is necessary
• How QT will be implemented
• When it is likely to begin
• Its potential size
• How Quantitative Tightening could impact the economy, the financial markets and your wealth
• And why it is a very, very bad idea.

China's Economic Hard Landing

The world has never experienced an economic boom like the one that has transformed China over the last 25 years. The Great China Boom is now coming to an end, however. In this presentation, Richard Duncan will explain why.

Topic to be addressed include:

• How China was transformed by a development strategy based on export-led and investment-driven growth.

• How $20 trillion of credit funded a 50-fold expansion of Chinese Investment between 1990 and today.

• The wildly unbalance nature of China’s economy.

• The fragility of China’s financial system.

• The challenges and constraints that are now bringing China’s Great Economic Boom to an end.

• The economic and political consequences of China’s Hard Landing for the rest of the world.

• Chimerica - and the global repercussions should this US-Chinese economic relationship end in divorce.

Past talks (16)
How To Understand Economics and The Financial Markets In The Post_ Bretton Woods World
CFA Societies South America
South America
January 9, 2017
Trump's Recipe For Disaster
Agora Economics Roundtable 2017
Baltimore
2017
China's Economic Hard Landing
ICF Congress
Hong Kong
2016
Chinese Economy: Up or Down?
Asian Leadership Conference
Seoul
When And How Far Will US Interest Rates Rise?
Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Conference
Hong Kong
2015
The Dollar vs. The Yuan: What's Next? Why It Matters
CFA Korea-Daishin Conference
Seoul
2015
What Will A Post Taper World Look Like?
FundForum Asia
Hong Kong
2015
The Rise and Fall and Rise of The Renminbi
EuroFinance Shanghai
Shanghai
2014
The Corruption Of Capitalism
CFA Institute India Investment Conference
Mumbai
2014
What Drives Economic Growth?
Seagate Technologies
Cupertino, California
2014
From Capitalism To Creditism
The Economist Corporate Network
Singapore
2014
The Continuing Impact Of Quantitative Easing
Alliance Bank
Kuala Lumpur
2014
Economics In The Age Of Paper Money
Canadian Investment Review
Whistler, Canada
2013
Whoever Creates The Wealth Holds The Power
Niagara Institutional Dialogue
Toronto
2013
The Sources Of Liquidity Behind The Waves Of Change & Oceans Of OpOportunity
Asian-Pacific Association Of Banking Institutes Conference
Kuala Lumpur
2013
More Than 100 Speeches Since 2003
More Than 100 Speeches
Worldwide
2003
  • All (3)
  • Videos (2)
  • Photos
  • One sheet (1)
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Quantitative Tightening Will Cause A Global Liquidity Shock
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Books & Articles (4)

The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures
John Wiley & Sons,
2003
The Corruptions Of Capitalism
CLSA Books,
2009
The New Depression
John Wiley & Sons,
2012
Asia, It's Reserves And The Coming Dollar Crisis

Expertise (8)

Business
Social & Political
Markets and economics Monetary policy Global macro Currencies Interest Rates International Trade
Recommendations
Why choose me? 

Duncan explains the forces driving economic growth and the financial markets in the 21st Century.

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